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Volume 10
Journal of Earth Science & Climatic Change
Page 24
Climate Congress 2019
May 10-11, 2019
conferenceseries
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May 10-11, 2019 Bangkok, Thailand
8
th
World Climate Congress
Mohamed Elsayed Hassan Shaltout, J Earth Sci Clim Change 2019, Volume 10
DOI: 10.4172/2157-7617-C2-059
Recent sea surface temperature trends and future scenarios for the Red Sea
Mohamed Elsayed Hassan Shaltout
Alexandria University, Egypt
T
he current paper analyzes the recent trends of Red Sea Surface Temperature (SST) using 0.25º daily
gridded Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature (OISST) data from 1982-2016. The results of
three different GFDL (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory) model simulations are used to project the
sea surface temperature (here after called Tos) under the four representative concentration pathway scenarios
through 2100. The current research indicates that the average Red Sea surface temperature is 27.88±2.14
°C, with a significant warming trend of 0.029 ºC yr−1. The annual SST variability during the spring/autumn
seasons is two times higher than during the winter/summer seasons. The Red Sea surface temperature is
correlated with 13 different studied parameters, the most dominant of which are mean sea level pressure, air
temperature at 2 m above sea level, cross-coast wind stress, sensible heat flux and Indian Summer Monsoon
Index. For the Red Sea, the GFDL-CM3 simulation was found to produce the most accurate current SST
among the studied simulations and was then used to project future scenarios. Analysis of GFDL-CM3 results
showed that Tos in the Red Sea will experience significant warming trends with an uncertainty ranging from
0.6 ºC century-1 to 3.2 ºC century-1 according to the scenario used and the seasonal variation.
Biography
Mohamed Elsayed Hassan Shaltout has many research activities in the field of sea level projection together with ocean modeling and different
environmental issues. He has in depth knowledge of specific oceanic conditions along the Egyptian Mediterranean coast. He has completed his
PhD from Alexandria University and he is a Guest Researcher in Earth Science Department, Gothenburg University, Sweden and Earth Science
Department, Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Italy. He has studied climate change impacts on Egyptian coastal
waters and the Mediterranean Sea and has lectured extensively on this subject. He is experienced in the use and application of remote sensing
tools.
mohamed.shaltout@alexu.edu.eg