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Volume 8, Issue 8 (Suppl) J Earth Sci Clim Change
ISSN: 2157-7617 JESCC, an open access journal Earth Science Congress 2017
September 18-19, 2017
September 18-19, 2017 Hong Kong
6th International Conference on
Earth Science and Climate Change
Assessment of the bioclimate of Northwest region at various scenarios of climate change
Marina Trubina
Russian Geographical Society, Russia
Statement of the Problem: The scenarios of climate change created by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5
(CMIP5) during 2011-2060 evidence average annual temperature in some regions of Russia will increase by 1.6-7.0°C. The
main risks for human health are connected with change of frequency and intensity of heat waves, spread of the southern
infectious diseases in northern latitudes, emergence of earlier uncharacteristic natural and focal diseases and zoonosis.
Purpose: The purpose of work is the assessment of bioclimatic capacity of the Russian Northwest region at scenarios of climate
change of RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 during 2011-2060. Development of effective measures for easing adaptations to climate
change, demands medico-geographical approaches, creation of new biometeorological models and introduction of system
of medical weather forecasts. Research includes biometeorological monitoring (creation of a multiparametrical database,
calculation of the main biometeorological indexes), modeling of change of biometeorology conditions on the basis of results
of the CMIP5 model during 2011-2060, assessment interseasonal acclimatization by using the mathematical model created by
V.A. Matiukhin (Russia, Novosibirsk).
Results: The result of research will be applied to creation of medico-geographical electronic cards and recommendations about
mitigation of adaptation of the population to climate change.
Findings: This study is a step towards the use of information technology in biometeorology, development bioclimatic
assessment techniques, determining the vector of interdisciplinary research and demands new methods and technologies for
data processing.
Biography
Marina Trubina has completed her Diploma of the Meteorologist from Russian State Hydrometeorological University (RSHU) in Russia. She has completed her
PhD in Geography at RSHU. She was the Director of Computer Center, Researcher and Assistant Professor from RSHU and has published more than 200 papers
in scientific journals. Currently she is the Chairman of the Commission of Medical Geography of the Russian Geographical Society (RGS), renowned Expert in the
field of applied climatology, biometeorology, human ecology and space weather. Her basic research interests are biometeorology, space weather, heliometeopathic,
medical weather forecasts, human ecology and balneology.
Marina Trubina, J Earth Sci Clim Change 2017, 8:8 (Suppl)
DOI: 10.4172/2157-7617-C1-031