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Climate Change 2016
October 27-29, 2016
Volume 7, Issue 9(Suppl) J Earth Sci Clim Change
ISSN: 2157-7617 JESCC, an open access journal
conferenceseries .com
October 24-26, 2016 Valencia, Spain
World Conference onClimate Change
Risk adaptation space of water resources to climate change inChina's city agglomerationunder construction
Minghao Bai1, 2, Min Zhao1, 2 and Shenbei Zhou1, 3
1Hohai University, China
2Jiangsu Province’ Water Resources and the Sustainable Development Research Center, China
3George Mason University, USA
With the advance of urbanization, city agglomerations have emerged on a large scale in China. However, the extension
of the scale and the concentration of population and industry result into large input of resources and discharge of
pollutants, inserting great pressure to the resource environment of the city agglomeration regions. And the frequent extreme
climate brings great uncertainty to the tense environmental carrying capacity. Based on the background, this paper aims to
figure out the space of city agglomerations to adapt to water-use risk and the factors influencing its adaptability. Considering
that VAR model based on hierarchical Bayesian can not only figure out the homogeneity risk response of large-scale city
urbanization, but also judge the impact of heterogeneity factors on risk adaptability, this paper adopts it to analyze, from
the temporal space, the fluctuant range of years’ rainfall in city agglomeration which can survive the extreme climate and
maintain the normal production and living. And the results find that: the space size of water-use risk adaptation in China
city agglomeration has high correlation to spatial location. Western city agglomerations can maintain the normal production
and living under greater rainfall fluctuation range, followed by middle city urbanizations, and then by eastern ones while the
situation in southern city agglomerations is better than that in northern ones. Three factors can explain the results: water
resource endowment, river basin location and city agglomeration scale. In the end, this paper has given some suggestions to
city agglomerations in China about how to adapt to climate change.
Biography
Minghao Bai has completed his Bachelor of Science from Hohai University School of Science and Doctoral studies from Business School of Hohai University.
During this time, he has participated in many projects, such as Jiangsu province’ soft science research project, fundamental research funds for the central
universities and the national social science project.
Minghao Bai et al., J Earth Sci Clim Change 2016, 7:9(Suppl)