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The present study focused on stripe rust incidences on wheat crop in lower Pothohar region to assess present damaging effects
of stripe rust disease on wheat crop through geographic information system tools. As wheat is the main cereal crop that is
grown in Jhelum district on both irrigated and non-irrigated lands. This study was done on lower Pothohar region i.e., Jhelum
district while comparing the disease incidence data of stripe rust for six years (2010-2015). Climatic data including temperature,
precipitation and humidity were analyzed for past six years because these variations are responsible for development of rust
diseases in selected regions. Jhelum provides favorable moisture and rainfall to help germinate the rust spores on widespread
wheat crop. Geographic information system tools provide valuable information through visual interpretation of attribute
data. Standard deviational ellipses showed the extent of variation of disease exhibiting the directional trend for six years in
which the ellipse area of stripe rust disease expanded during 2015. Spatial autocorrelation analysis concluded that stripe rust
disease is exhibiting dispersed pattern during 2015 with clustered pattern in previous years. Therefore, this study provided the
information about spread and shift of stripe rust in Jhelum district through broad spectrum of geospatial analysis that result in
real time visualization and predictive analysis. Stripe rust is becoming more prevalent so the wheat varieties resistant against
stripe rust needs to be cultivated. Fungicides are also need to be used against development of rust that will ultimately lead to
high yield of wheat crop.