climate-change-2016_scientifictracks-abstracts

18 / 96

Notes:
Page 41
Climate Change 2016
October 27-29, 2016
Volume 7, Issue 9(Suppl) J Earth Sci Clim Change
ISSN: 2157-7617 JESCC, an open access journal
conferenceseries .com
October 24-26, 2016 Valencia, Spain
World Conference onClimate Change
AR5-based climate change impact analysis on water resources in Asia monsoon region
Jeong-Bae Kim, Moon-Hwan Lee and Deg-Hyo Bae
Sejong University, Korea
Asia has a large variation in water resources and causes frequent occurrence of natural disasters such as flood and drought.
Of course, there are various reasons for these disasters, but the current climate change increases the variability of temporal
and spatial patterns for the disasters and causes the difficulties in water resources management over the region. The aim of
this study is to anlalyze climate change impact on water resources in the Asia monsoon region based on AR5 scenario. The
future changes in temperature, precipitation and runoff according to climate change are evaluated and the corresponding
variability characteristics are analyzed in the study region. GCMs are used for simulating future climate chnage scenarios
and bilinear method is applied to interpolate the scenarios at 0.5 degree horizontal grid scale. Delta method is used for bias
correction. To assess the performance of GCMs output that reflect well the Asian monsoon region, Taylor diagram approach
is adopted in this study. The observed precipitation and temperature data were obtained from APHRODITE, which is used for
input of hydrologic VIC model. As results, annual average temperature was increased in general, while the precipitation and
runoff were different patterns in specific sites In the past preiods, annual average temperature, precipitation and runoff were
about 10.5℃, 672mm and 355mm, respectively. Future projections based on climate change scenario represent gradual rise in
temperature in all regions, but demonstrate higher increase in temperature change with increasing latitudes. The spatial and
temporal changes in precipitation and runoff are provided in this study. The flood and drought prone areas in Asia monsoon
region due to climate change are analyzed and compared with the results from AR4.
Biography
Jeong-Bae Kim has completed his M.S degree at the age of 25 years from Sejong University, Seoul, Korea. She is doctoral course student in Department of Civil
and Environmental Engineering, Sejong University. She has published 1 paper in academic journal in South Korea and delivered several oral presentations in
academic symposium.
Jeong-Bae Kim et al., J Earth Sci Clim Change 2016, 7:9(Suppl)